Market Signals

INFLATION & MONETARY POLICY: If the current consensus across global Wall Street is that the @federalreserve's interest rate policy will be ineffective

My problem with the inflation Bros on here is that they seem to think the Fed has some control panel on the wall with which they can modulate the econ

Pulling a Greenspan means that low unemployment isn't inflationary in and of itself because of productivity growth and therefore you don't need to pul

Ive been posting for years about how if the Fed kept ignoring inflation we would invariably get socialism as a mainstream political movement

INSIDE IRAN, WORLD CUP TEAM BRINGS JOY DESPITE UNCERTAINTY AROUND U.S. PEACE TALKS — via NBC

WHAT HAS BRITAIN'S LIKELY NEXT PRIME MINISTER SAID ABOUT TRUMP? — via CBS

IRAN WAR DAY 116: US EASES IRAN SANCTIONS; LEBANON CEASEFIRE HOLDS — via ALJAZEERA

WHY IRAN’S PRESIDENT PEZESHKIAN IS HEADING TO PAKISTAN AFTER US TALKS — via ALJAZEERA

INVESCO BULLETSHARES 2028 CORPORATE BOND ETF DECLARES MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF $0.0753 — via SEEKINGALPHA

U.S. STEEL CEO SAYS 'GOLDEN SHARE' WON'T CURB REFORM STRATEGY — via NIKKEI

IRAN PEACE TALKS HAVE BEEN CHAOTIC. BUT CONFUSION HAS ONLY GROWN SINCE THE AGREEMENT WAS SIGNED. — via NBC

CHINESE NVIDIA SUPPLIER POURS $700M INTO VIETNAM PLANT — via NIKKEI

Fantastic response.

"THIS WAS NOT EASY": U.S.-IRAN PEACE DEAL SIGNED IN VERSAILLES — via SEEKINGALPHA

OIL PRICES CONTINUE SLIDE AMID HOPES FOR PEACE, OPENING OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ — via ALJAZEERA

📊 ICE BofA US High Yield OAS: 2.66 bp (-0bp)

📊 ICE BofA US High Yield OAS: 2.71 bp (-0bp)

CHINA OFFERS STAUNCH SUPPORT TO MYANMAR PRESIDENT DURING HIS STATE VISIT — via ALJAZEERA

VANCE SAYS TRUMP IS "VERY SUPPORTIVE" BUT DOESN'T CONFIRM 2028 PRESIDENTIAL RUN — via CBS

A THOUGHT

WHEN THE CONFLICT IN IRAN BEGAN IN LATE FEBRUARY, IT WAS WIDELY EXPECTED TO LAST ONLY A FEW WEEKS. FOUR MONTHS LATER, WE CAN SEE THAT THE 12-MONTH FOR

THE EQUITY VALUATION AND FED MODEL CHART BELOW SHOWS THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE P/E RATIO (TOP) AND THE FED MODEL SIGNAL (BOTTOM). FORTUNATELY, EQUITY VA

Trump's AI Dividend: Public Payoff Or Preemptive Tech Bailout? — via SEEKINGALPHA

NVIDIA, AMAZON BACK NEURA ROBOTICS’ $1.4 BILLION FUNDRAISE — VIA WSJ

ASIAN STOCKS SLIDE , OIL GAINS AS MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS ESCALATE

MALAYSIA PM ANWAR TO KICK OFF NIKKEI'S FUTURE OF ASIA CONFERENCE — VIA NIKKEI

TRUMP COURTS BOOS AT HISTORIC NEW YORK NBA FINALS APPEARANCE — VIA ALJAZEERA

GOLD EXTENDS FALLS ON RISING TREASURY YIELDS

TECH GIANT OPENAI FILES FOR US INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING — VIA ALJAZEERA

IDF STRIKE REPORTED NEAR BEIRUT, SIRENS BLARE IN NORTH AFTER PEACE TALKS IN DC HTTPS://T.CO/QCIARARN8J — VIA @TIMESOFISRAEL

IDF SOLDIER STAFF SGT. ADAM TZARFATI KILLED BY DRONE STRIKE IN SOUTHERN LEBANON

NECESSITY IS THE MOTHER OF INNOVATION.

I DID SOME LOWER BOUND MAFS (H/T @JUKAN05, @ZEPHYR_Z9). 950 LOGIC DIES ARE ≤430MM^2, 2 PER NPU. TSMC HAD 0.09 DEFECTS/CM^2 IN 2019, ON 7NM DUV. ASSUME

ISRAEL TARGETS CHILDREN’S PLAYGROUND IN GAZA

KNICKS 2-0, AMAZING WEATHER, AI BOTTLENECKS TRADE FINALLY A LITTLE SANITY & BREADTH WIDENS, AND THE FED IS HIKING RATES

💢 THREE KILLED, 15 WOUNDED IN ISRAELI STRIKES ACROSS GAZA ON DAY 239 OF CEASEFIRE VIOLATIONS

A NEW EXCHANGE OF FIRE WITH IRAN IN THE GULF TESTS THE FRAGILE CEASEFIRE — VIA ABC

INDIA FY26 GDP GROWTH 7.7%, Q4 EXPANSION AT 7.8% — SBI RESEARCH

IT'S EARLY BUT $INTC IS UNDER THE 21 EMA RIGHT NOW FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 2 MONTHS, NOT GOOD, SHORT TERM TREND SHIFT IF IT DOESN'T RECLAIM IT. INTEL CH

PLA SAYS IT WILL STAY ON HIGH ALERT AFTER DUTCH WARSHIP CROSSES TAIWAN STRAIT — VIA SCMP

BITCOIN FALLS BELOW $60,000 FOR FIRST TIME SINCE 2024 TRUMP WIN

MARKET INDEXES TUMBLE AT MIDDAY AS TREASURY YIELDS SPIKE ON HOT EMPLOYMENT REPORT

R GANDHI: RBI POLICY ON EXPECTED LINES, NO IMMEDIATE RATE HIKE RISKS

$TGTX

$CXM

🚨 100% of S&P 500 market cap has now reported Q1 2026.

TRUMP: "NOT TO RUSH" ON IRAN DEAL — STRAIT OF HORMUZ BLOCKADE REMAINS

Anthropic strikes deal to launch European consultancy - Financial Times

Blackstone Bet on Chips Drove a Debt Boom That’s Upending Credit - Bloomberg.com

US Consumer Sentiment Slips to Five-Month Low on Inflation Woes - Bloomberg.com