Market Signals

Stress signals are flashing across the board — MOVE 89th %ile, VVIX 66th, Skew 84th, Dispersion 97th. This isn’t a calm backdrop.

Dispersion Index at 97th %ile — stocks aren't moving together, they're moving against each other. That's not calm, that's a powder keg with a blanket

THE BIG HOUSING BILL IS SET TO BECOME LAW AT MIDNIGHT, DESPITE TRUMP NOT SIGNING IT. HERE'S WHAT IT MEANS FOR YOU. - BUSINSIDER

TRUMP SAYS HE 'WILL NOT SIGN' BIPARTISAN HOUSING BILL - ABC

VIX at 8th %ile — deep complacency. But S&P dispersion hit 100th %ile. Under the surface, stress is high. Kalshi gives a 1.5% chance SPX closes 7625-7

Skew at 92nd %ile, dispersion 98th %ile — tail risk hedges are on, but indices sit at multi-month highs. Someone's wrong here.

CHINA'S DETENTION OF 2 JAPANESE HIGHLIGHTS RISKS FROM WHISTLEBLOWER PROGRAM - NIKKEI

ANTHROPIC’S POLITICAL RISKS ARE REAL, BUT OPENAI’S LOOM EVEN LARGER - WSJ

Nasdaq vol 81st %ile, dispersion 97th, skew 84th — stress signals are everywhere. But the portfolio says vol is complacent. That's not a contradiction

TOYOTA-BACKED CHINESE UNICORN MOMENTA RISES IN HONG KONG BOURSE DEBUT - NIKKEI

TOYOTA-BACKED CHINESE SELF-DRIVING UNICORN MOMENTA HITS HONG KONG MARKET - NIKKEI

LOCKHEED MARTIN, RHEINMETALL PLAN FIRST ATACMS MISSILE PRODUCTION IN EUROPE - SEEKINGALPHA

TRUMP SAYS HE'LL CONSIDER GIVING TURKEY F-35 JETS, ADDS THAT US WILL LIFT SANCTIONS - ABC

TRUMP WAS INTRODUCED TO RED AND YELLOW CARDS IN 2018 - POLITICO

ANTERIX: THE FCC CATALYST HAS PASSED. COMMERCIALIZATION IS NEXT - SEEKINGALPHA

VIX 8th %ile, MOVE 5th, OVX 5th. Complacency is the default. Kalshi prices just 14% odds S&P closes 7525–7550 today – a tight box everyone believes in

GUOLIAN MINSHENG SECURITIES - GNEWS

TOYOTA TO INVEST $3.6BN TO MOVE SOME TRUCK PRODUCTION FROM MEXICO TO US - NIKKEI

TOYOTA TO INVEST $3.6BN IN TEXAS PLANT FOR TACOMA PICKUP PRODUCTION - NIKKEI

SPACEX'S PRESIDENT IS DONATING HER STOCK TO TRUMP ACCOUNTS FOR TWO MILLION KIDS - QZ

WHAT IS NAYARA, THE INDIAN FIRM RUSSIA IS REPORTEDLY IMPORTING OIL FROM? - ALJAZEERA

FROM TRUMAN'S PENSION TO TRUMP'S BILLIONS - A WHITE HOUSE WINDFALL UNMATCHED BY ANY PRESIDENT - BBC

BIBLES, HOME ALONE AND PERFUME: SIX TAKEAWAYS FROM TRUMP'S 2025 FINANCES - BBC

TRUMP SAYS RECORD BOATS LEAVING HORMUZ, CALLS COMMUNISM ‘BIGGEST THREAT’ - ALJAZEERA

JPMORGAN BETABUILDERS USD INVESTMENT GRADE CORPORATE BOND ETF DECLARES MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF $0.1913 - SEEKINGALPHA

JPMORGAN BETABUILDERS USD HIGH YIELD CORPORATE BOND ETF DECLARES MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF $0.2689 - SEEKINGALPHA

NUVEEN ESG HIGH YIELD CORPORATE BOND ETF DECLARES MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF $0.1209 - SEEKINGALPHA

SPDR SSGA MY2028 CORPORATE BOND ETF DECLARES MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF $0.0883 - SEEKINGALPHA

SPDR PORTFOLIO CORPORATE BOND ETF DECLARES MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF $0.1229 - SEEKINGALPHA

SINGAPORE SEIZES $42M HOME IN NVIDIA CHIP SMUGGLING CASE - NIKKEI

CHINA’S EV BOOM DRIVEN BY LOCAL GOVERNMENTS, NOT BEIJING’S INDUSTRIAL POLICY, STUDY FINDS - SCMP

SUPREME COURT REJECTS TRUMP'S ATTEMPT TO END BIRTHRIGHT CITIZENSHIP - ABC

US SUPREME COURT HANDS TRUMP 3-1 DEFEAT IN KEY RULINGS: WHAT WE KNOW - ALJAZEERA

CHINA'S JUNE FACTORY ACTIVITY EXPANDS FASTER THAN EXPECTED; PMI RISES TO 50.3 - SEEKINGALPHA

Nikkei reports on China raising domestic procurement of Semi equipment. In 2025, Japanese SME export to China drop 10%. Especially w/ TEL. As for seve

WHY CHINESE EXPORTERS AND SHIPPING FIRMS REMAIN WARY DESPITE THE US-IRAN PEACE DEAL — via SCMP

TREASURY YIELDS SNAPSHOT : JUNE 26,2026

MARK ZUCKERBERG URGES META TO EXPLORE WORKING WITH POLYMARKET AND KALSHI - NYT

Currently the right side of $MSTR's balance sheet is worth 91% of the Bitcoin and Cash and operating business. The proper corporate finance action wo

SOFTBANK SHARES SLIPPED OVER 12% ON CONCERNS OF OPENAI IPO DELAY — via NIKKEI

TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT DEFENDS TRUMP IRAN DEAL , SANCTIONS RELIEF

NVIDIA (NVDA) PROJECTS $1 TRILLION IN AI INFRASTRUCTURE DEMAND BY 2027 — via YAHOO

QUALCOMM VS. NVIDIA AND DRONES VS. DOGS — via NIKKEI

INFLATION & MONETARY POLICY: If the current consensus across global Wall Street is that the @federalreserve's interest rate policy will be ineffective

My problem with the inflation Bros on here is that they seem to think the Fed has some control panel on the wall with which they can modulate the econ

Pulling a Greenspan means that low unemployment isn't inflationary in and of itself because of productivity growth and therefore you don't need to pul

Ive been posting for years about how if the Fed kept ignoring inflation we would invariably get socialism as a mainstream political movement

INSIDE IRAN, WORLD CUP TEAM BRINGS JOY DESPITE UNCERTAINTY AROUND U.S. PEACE TALKS — via NBC

WHAT HAS BRITAIN'S LIKELY NEXT PRIME MINISTER SAID ABOUT TRUMP? — via CBS

IRAN WAR DAY 116: US EASES IRAN SANCTIONS; LEBANON CEASEFIRE HOLDS — via ALJAZEERA