What changed
Corn $CORN 100th %ile, copper $COPPER 94th, $XLE 100th. Commodities are not buying the calm.
British pound $POUND_FX 100th %ile. That’s a crowded FX leg if the vol bid returns.
Kalshi gives KXNASDAQ100Y 4% odds Nasdaq ends Dec between 32000 and 32499.99. That’s zero respect for a vol expansion.
So what? The issue is broad complacency sitting on top of stretched real assets. Mean reversion gets ugly fast.
Watch: $6A_F $ES_F $LQD $SPY $VVIX $VXN