What changed
Nasdaq vol even deeper in the gutter at 8th %ile — nobody’s pricing a wobble, which is exactly when wobbles show up
Gold vol screaming at 89th %ile while equities nap — one of these is wrong
Copper at 97th %ile, heating oil at 92nd — this isn’t just a stock story, real assets are running hot
Kalshi has Dow ≥54K at 83% — conviction is high, which means the fast money’s already in
The issue: dispersion index at zero, everything lifting together — no hedges, no fear, no room for error