What changed
Geopolitics is back: US and Iran are talking through mediators, but Gaza still saw two Palestinians killed in an Israeli strike and gunfire despite the ceasefire. Putin’s nuclear strike warning is noise until it isn’t — watch oil and defense here.
The 30Y at 5.6% — highest since 2002 — is the macro story. Analysts see the 10Y hitting 6%, yet stocks are little changed and the dollar rally stalled ahead of PCE, ISM and NFP. Nikkei fell 396 points on ex-dividend and rate fears. This is the pressure point.
$NVDA is at its cheapest valuation since 2015, buying back a record number of shares, and building an AI watchdog to stop rogue agents. $TSM says 2nm is moving into high gear. $AMD just crossed $1T. The AI trade isn’t dead — it’s rotating and getting more regulated.
$COST Q3 call: top 5 analyst questions are the tell. Adani Power Q2 earnings date, investor returns and stock move since Q1 are in focus. Good signal if Costco traffic holds; bad signal if staples start getting punished on ma
Why it matters
Geopolitics is back: US and Iran are talking through mediators, but Gaza still saw two Palestinians killed in an Israeli strike and gunfire despite the ceasefire. Putin’s nuclear strike warning is noi
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Sep 29, 2026 06:05 PM ET