What changed
Trump-Xi sit down while Beijing expels an ex-military commander on corruption charges. The truce is holding, but the purge reminds you Xi’s grip is the real policy variable. Watch tariffs and chip export noise into lunch.
Tech/AI: $NVDA’s $105B backstop for OpenAI’s Ohio project is not just a chip order — it’s Nvidia underwriting the buildout. The Einride deal pushes $NVDA into autonomous truck fleets. $MU earnings preview matters because memory is the hidden bottleneck. If $MU guides hot, AI capex gets another leg.
Macro/rates: BOJ at 1.25% is the highest since 1995. Banks are unmoved by the Fed hike, but Treasury yields easing is what let tech and Bitcoin rally. 10-year yields rising is still the risk — watch $TNX.
Commodities/energy: Republican senator wants Trump to ban diesel exports as fuel prices soar. That’s a political cap on product exports and a fresh inflation headache. $CL and diesel cracks are the tell.
Regulation: Ireland fines $GOOGL €403M over location-data breach. EU
Why it matters
Trump-Xi sit down while Beijing expels an ex-military commander on corruption charges. The truce is holding, but the purge reminds you Xi’s grip is the real policy variable. Watch tariffs and chip exp