What changed
No energy truce means the oil risk premium isn’t dead. Russia/Ukraine hitting energy infra again while US shifts military aid to the Americas is a bad signal for Europe/Mideast stability. Watch crude and defense.
$NVDA’s next-gen GPU story is all about the GPUs — 70% of its AI supercomputer cost goes to Vera Rubin chips. Vicor’s patent moat is the quiet key. OpenAI’s president joined the Forbes 400 at $25.5B. Tech hasn’t been this cheap since ChatGPT launched.
Prediction markets say 85.5% Fed upper bound >3.75% after Sep 16, CPI >3.9% only 1.5%, payrolls >125k just 23.5%. That’s no cuts plus labor cracks. Watch $JPM $BAC $GS into the print; card networks $V and $MA are the consumer tell.
$VRA beat Q2 earnings and revenue. $KBH Q3 is expected to decline. Six top stocks with strong earnings growth are trading well below 52-week highs. This is a split tape: value consumer okay, housing not. $RGA is the rates-sensitive insurance name to watch.
The US says two Chinese firms used Binance to