What changed
Final U.S. August manufacturing PMI revised higher—soft landing intact. Canada PMI cooled to 53.0 but job growth strongest since Oct 2024. Prediction markets: $KXFED 20.5%, $KXPAYROLLS 30.5%, so no hike/hot-payrolls fear. Good signal for risk, not for rate cuts.
Earnings split: $YEXT beat, $HMR missed. Mid/small-cap healthcare and industrial quant rankings re-rating after earnings—money chasing quality, not cheap beta. Watch small-cap industrial laggards; they’re cheap for a reason.
AI backbone broadening: Wells Fargo $WFC likes data center real estate, $OGE still has data center story ahead. Waymo and Zoox expanding—robotaxi race is a land grab. $UBS says China won’t match $ASML’s top tool next decade, capping chip catch-up.
Two more oil tankers attacked in Strait of Hormuz—supply risk is live. Canada’s Carney slaps Trump admin for “doing memes… throwing shade”—political noise rising. Not sure people appreciate how fast tanker-war premium can return.
American Business Bank authorized
Why it matters
Final U.S. August manufacturing PMI revised higher—soft landing intact. Canada PMI cooled to 53.0 but job growth strongest since Oct 2024. Prediction markets: $KXFED 20.5%, $KXPAYROLLS 30.5%, so no hi