What changed
Treasury unexpectedly doubled long-end buybacks; yields and the dollar tumbled, gold spiked. The issue is this QE-lite is a temporary salve, not a fix for bond stress.
Anthropic passed OpenAI in revenue for the first time as ChatGPT growth slowed; Nvidia-backed Groq raised $350M. $NVDA is becoming the picks-and-shovels landlord of AI infrastructure.
SK Hynix launches a $28.6BN buyback and cancellation, signaling its stock is too cheap—good signal the HBM memory cycle still has legs.
China orders entities not to assist the EU’s $JD.com probe—Beijing is shielding domestic tech from foreign regulators, another friction point.
Gold wakes up on Treasury’s buyback surprise; real yields are the trade—lock in TIPS before 3% real yields collapse.
$KXFED 20.5% for fed funds above 3.75% after July, $KXPAYROLLS 30.5% for >125k jobs—markets see no near-term Fed hike and a soft payrolls print.
So what: Treasury is holding yields down, AI infra still has a bid, SK Hynix defends value. This week
Why it matters
Treasury unexpectedly doubled long-end buybacks; yields and the dollar tumbled, gold spiked. The issue is this QE-lite is a temporary salve, not a fix for bond stress.