What changed
Geopolitics: Quad seeks to break China’s mineral monopoly amid a US-India rift while Beijing and Washington trade rare earth restrictions anew—supply-chain jitters reignite.
Macro: China drops April industrial output & Jan-Apr retail sales; BOJ releases May current account balances showing ample liquidity. Japan’s defence outreach hits hidden roadblocks, muting near-term fiscal catalysts.
Tech: Cancer-on-a-chip pioneer Chen Weiqiang returns to China from NYU, a high-profile biotech talent grab. Meanwhile, the I Ching-Leibniz-AI historical arc gains fresh attention in Chinese tech circles.
Commodities: China launches an anti-dumping probe into nickel-added stainless steel imports. Iran oil waiver offers Tehran a lifeline as talks proceed, capping crude supply fears for now.
Investor takeaway: Trade friction re-ignites via rare earths and mineral supply risks. China’s EV overcapacity and 200M+ e-commerce shipments test trade guardrails. BOJ steady, China data lagging—watch nickel, oi