Welcome to FOMC week! Since Warsh's first unexpectedly hawkish meeting we've had the following data:
Q1 GDP beat
What changed
Q1 GDP beat
PCE miss, core PCE met
Cons Confidence miss
ISM mfg miss
NFP miss
ISM svc beat
Existing home sales miss
NFIB miss
CPI miss, core miss
PPI miss, core miss
Retail sales miss
Umich miss
PMI mfg/svc miss — via @effmkthype
Why it matters
Multiple data misses across GDP, inflation, and labor signal economic weakness ahead of FOMC.