StockDuty ← Dashboard Jul 24, 2026 11:40 AM ET
CatalystFixed Income

Real Yields operate with cycles or regimes.

During the "money printing" era from 2009 to 2022 (red), the 10-year real yield averaged just 0.23%. We are not in a zero-yield, money-printing era anymore (thank god). Before this (left blue), the 10-year real yield averaged 2.74%. I have argued the current period (right blue) should look like the pre-money-printing era (left blue), and it does. It also means 10-year real yields can go much higher before they become too restrictive (probably above 3 — via @biancoresearch
Historical real yield averages (0.23% vs 2.74%) highlight
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