StockDuty ← Dashboard Oct 16, 2026 11:39 AM ET
CatalystQuant Long SP500

Model is leaning hard on earnings yield vs bonds. 6 of 10 top longs carry that driver. Median confidence 93. Book ranges +12.4% to +18.2%. Short interest is the second factor. Not a market call, a fac

ALL
$250.87
-0.34%
FISV
$47.33
-0.16%
CCL
$27.76
+0.08%
The Allstate Corporation ($ALL) and Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV) are both univ 100%, sec 100%, +18.2% and +16.1%, conf 93. Allstate drivers: earnings yield vs bonds +0.0644, short interest +0.0434, fwd/trail P/E +0.0200. Fiserv drivers: short interest +0.0675, earnings yield +0.0629, 60d vol +0.0250. Same cheap cash flow base. Different kickers: valuation for Allstate, squeeze plus vol for Fiserv. Carnival Corporation Ltd. ($CCL), Dollar Tree, Inc. ($DLTR), McCormick & Company, Incorporated ($MKC) all rank univ 99% or better. CCL +14.8%, conf 93: earnings yield +0.0596, short +0.0354, 60d vol +0.0174. DLTR +14.5%, conf 93: earnings yield +0.0561, short interest -0.0333, 60d vol +0.0203. MKC +14.2%, conf 91: earnings yield +0.0644, short +0.0634, 12mo mom -0.0209. DLTR is the odd one: short interest is a drag, not a boost. MKC has negative momentum and high short, so not a trend trade. BNY ($BNY), Solventum Corporation ($SOLV), PG&E Corporation ($PCG) are all sec 99% or 100%. BNY +14.1%, conf 9
The Allstate Corporation ($ALL) and Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV) are both univ 100%, sec 100%, +18.2% and +16.1%, conf 93. Allstate drivers: earnings yield vs bonds +0.0644, short interest +0.0434, fwd/trail
Sources
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