StockDuty ← Dashboard Oct 14, 2026 11:11 AM ET
CatalystQuant Long SP500

The scan is crowded into earnings yield vs bonds. That driver shows up in 6 of 10. Financials take 3 slots, Consumer Defensive 2. Book runs +14.2% to +20.3%, median confidence 93. Steep curve, normal

ALL
$251.70
+0.00%
FISV
$47.20
-0.43%
MKC
$45.63
+0.00%
The Allstate Corporation ($ALL) tops it at +20.3%, conf 93. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0644, short interest +.0434, fwd/trail P/E +.0200. Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV) is +16.6%, conf 93. Short interest +.0675 is the biggest driver, then earnings yield vs bonds +.0629, 60d vol +.0250. McCormick & Company, Incorporated ($MKC) is +16.3%, conf 93. Same earnings yield driver as ALL, but short interest +.0634 and fwd/trail P/E +.0206 do the rest. The issue: ALL and MKC look like bond proxies with squeeze potential. FISV is pure short squeeze plus vol. Globe Life Inc. ($GL) is +16.0%, conf 92. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0405, short interest +.0405, illiquidity +.0248. Carnival Corporation Ltd. ($CCL) is +15.4%, conf 93. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0596, short interest +.0354, 60d vol +.0165. EMCOR Group, Inc. ($EME) is +15.3%, conf 93. Short interest +.0297, earnings yield vs bonds +.0272, 60d vol +.0222. Pattern: short interest and vol push cyclicals and industrials. GL is the illiquid financials trade.
The Allstate Corporation ($ALL) tops it at +20.3%, conf 93. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0644, short interest +.0434, fwd/trail P/E +.0200. Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV) is +16.6%, conf 93. Short interest +.0675
Sources
digest