What changed
The Allstate Corporation ($ALL) tops it at +20.3%, conf 93. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0644, short interest +.0434, fwd/trail P/E +.0200. Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV) is +16.6%, conf 93. Short interest +.0675 is the biggest driver, then earnings yield vs bonds +.0629, 60d vol +.0250. McCormick & Company, Incorporated ($MKC) is +16.3%, conf 93. Same earnings yield driver as ALL, but short interest +.0634 and fwd/trail P/E +.0206 do the rest. The issue: ALL and MKC look like bond proxies with squeeze potential. FISV is pure short squeeze plus vol.
Globe Life Inc. ($GL) is +16.0%, conf 92. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0405, short interest +.0405, illiquidity +.0248. Carnival Corporation Ltd. ($CCL) is +15.4%, conf 93. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0596, short interest +.0354, 60d vol +.0165. EMCOR Group, Inc. ($EME) is +15.3%, conf 93. Short interest +.0297, earnings yield vs bonds +.0272, 60d vol +.0222. Pattern: short interest and vol push cyclicals and industrials. GL is the illiquid financials trade.
Why it matters
The Allstate Corporation ($ALL) tops it at +20.3%, conf 93. Earnings yield vs bonds +.0644, short interest +.0434, fwd/trail P/E +.0200. Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV) is +16.6%, conf 93. Short interest +.0675