Taliban civil war risk rises after China's Afghanistan-Pakistan mediation fails.
Context
What happened: China-led mediation between Afghanistan and Pakistan failed to yield results, and Afghanistan risks backsliding into more violence and civil war amid prolonged conflict with Pakistan.
Why it matters: The prolonged conflict has created a breeding ground for anti-Taliban groups, and the Taliban is increasingly threatened by forces against it, including the Afghanistan Freedom Front in Nuristan.
Key numbers: Taliban members celebrated five years in power in Kabul on Aug. 15.