October inflation expected at RBI's 6% ceiling, spotlighting rate policy.
Context
What happened: India's retail inflation is projected to hit 6% in October, up from 5.5% in September, according to a Mint poll of 15 economists. Official data is due on 12 November.
Key numbers: 6% October CPI projection, 5.5% in September, estimates ranging 5.9% to 6.2%, 15 economists polled, repo rate raised 25 bps to 5.5%, food and beverages inflation above 8% per Icra, RBI 2026-27
Why it matters: A 6% print would breach the RBI's upper tolerance limit for the first time since October 2024, and economists expect the central bank to keep rates elevated or hike again in December.
What changed
India's retail inflation is projected to hit 6% in October, up from 5.5% in September, according to a Mint poll of 15 economists. Official data is due on 12 November.