Texas Senate race tests Republican voter hold amid Trump immigration crackdown.
Context
What happened: Democrat James Talarico faces Republican Ken Paxton in a Texas Senate race that could decide Senate control, with both campaigns courting independents and right-leaning Latino voters.
Key numbers: Talarico has led narrowly in most polls since late June. Ad spending has surpassed $500 million, per AdImpact. Elon Musk put nearly $190 million into the race, per federal records.
Why it matters: Trump's unpopularity has complicated Paxton's task, and border-region voters who backed Trump are described as open to Talarico, with some citing immigration enforcement as their reason.