SignalGeopolitics
Mike Lawler flipped a New York district red in 2022. But his ties to Trump might bite him in the midterms
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Context
What happened: Republican Mike Lawler is at risk of losing New York's 17th congressional district, a closely watched battleground, as his ties to Donald Trump weigh on his re-election bid against Democrat Cait Conley.
Key numbers: Cook Political Report moved NY-17 from "lean Republican" to "toss-up" in January.
Why it matters: Trump's declining approval ratings are pressuring Republicans nationwide, and Conley is campaigning on Lawler's proximity to Trump, hoping to capitalize on voters disgruntled with the president.
What changed
Republican Mike Lawler is at risk of losing New York's 17th congressional district, a closely watched battleground, as his ties to Donald Trump weigh on his re-election bid against Democrat Cait Conley.
Why it matters
Trump's declining approval ratings are pressuring Republicans nationwide, and Conley is campaigning on Lawler's proximity to Trump, hoping to capitalize on voters disgruntled with the president.