CatalystEU/UK
POUND BENEFITS FROM A HAWKISH BOE
Hawkish Bank of England stance strengthens the pound.
Context
What happened: The pound has become the main beneficiary of US dollar weakness, with GBPUSD reaching five-week highs as markets anticipate aggressive Bank of England rate hikes.
Key numbers: September borrowing was £24.5 billion, 7.7% above a year earlier and slightly above the £23.8 billion Reuters consensus.
Why it matters: A November rate hike is described as all but a foregone conclusion, and more than four hikes would outpace the Fed, laying groundwork for a GBPUSD rally. The main risk cited is whether the Treasury's draft budget disappoints the bulls.
What changed
The pound has become the main beneficiary of US dollar weakness, with GBPUSD reaching five-week highs as markets anticipate aggressive Bank of England rate hikes.
Why it matters
A November rate hike is described as all but a foregone conclusion, and more than four hikes would outpace the Fed, laying groundwork for a GBPUSD rally. The main risk cited is whether the Treasury's draft budget disappoints the bulls.