IMF warns monetary policy may need tightening if war fuels inflation.
Context
What happened: The IMF said monetary policy must be ready to tighten if the Middle East war fuels stronger inflation pressures. It said the warning is conditional, not a call for an immediate rate increase.
Key numbers: Headline inflation was 8 percent year-on-year in September.
Why it matters: The IMF is concerned about second-round effects spreading into other prices and inflation expectations. Tighter policy could raise borrowing costs for businesses and households.