Euro weakness persists despite ECB rate hikes, signaling market skepticism.
Context
What happened: The euro fell to its weakest level against the US dollar since mid-May 2025 and against the British pound since early June 2025, despite two ECB rate hikes this year.
Key numbers: Euro around $1.111 Wednesday, $1.121 Thursday, down over 5% since late August.
Why it matters: An energy shock, France's debt crisis and a stronger US dollar are outweighing ECB tightening. Traders bet the ECB holds on 29 October and hikes in December, while US inflation data doubled Fed hike bets for 28 October.