Canadian inflation data and business survey precede Bank of Canada rate decision.
Context
What happened: Canadian inflation data and the Bank of Canada Q3 Business Outlook Survey are due Monday, ahead of the BoC rate decision on Oct. 28.
Key numbers: Headline CPI expected to hold at 3% year over year in September, a third straight month. Core inflation seen easing to 1.8% from 2.1%. Unemployment around 6.5%. Retail sales seen up 1.3% in August.
Why it matters: The releases are key inputs for the Oct. 28 decision, with inflation and growth risks expected to keep the BoC on hold through the rest of 2026.