StockDuty ← Dashboard Sep 29, 2026 03:34 PM ET
CatalystFutures Digest

MOVE 97th %ile is the flashing red. Skew 66th and crude vol 66th are caution flags. KXFED 41.5% for >4.50% after Jan 27, 2027 — rate stress, not a clean cut cycle.

RSP
$213.40
-0.32%
SI
$18.25
+0.88%
KXINX 11.5% for S&P 500 between 7650 and 7674.9999 at 4pm EDT — no edge in the pin. Watch internals, not the index. ETH 98th %ile, SOL 97th %ile — crypto is the only clean risk-on pulse. RSP 0th, XLRE 0th — broad equity and real estate are dead weight. Crude vol 66th with KXWTI only 17.5% above $92.99 — oil upside tail isn’t priced. Euro FX 8th %ile — dollar side is stretched. Connect the dots: rate vol 97th + equal-weight 0th + real estate 0th = narrow, fragile tape. Don’t trust the S&P calm. Watch: $000300.SS $6E_F $MOVE $RSP $SI_F $XLRE
KXINX 11.5% for S&P 500 between 7650 and 7674.9999 at 4pm EDT — no edge in the pin. Watch internals, not the index.
Sources
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