SignalMacro

RBOB Gasoline Futures $2.92 ↓ 1.2% 11th %ile • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 11th in 90d range

Why it matters

Gasoline at 6th percentile signals weak demand, yet KXWTI 8.5% implies 8.5% odds of oil above $117.

Sources

futures