SignalMacro

RBOB Gasoline Futures $2.90 ↑ 1.2% 6th %ile • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 6th in 90d range

Why it matters

RBOB at 3rd percentile signals weak gasoline, yet KXWTI 8.5% implies oil upside, creating macro divergence.

Sources

futures