SignalMacro

Invesco QQQ $690.49 ↓ 3.5% 3th %ile • KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — 18,999.99 or below

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 3th in 90d range

Why it matters

QQQ down 2.8% at 3rd percentile with Kalshi pricing 3.5% odds Nasdaq-100 below 19,000 by Dec 2026.

Sources

futures