SignalMacro

Invesco QQQ $741.21 ↓ 0.8% 98th %ile • KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — 18,999.99 or below

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 98th in 90d range

Why it matters

QQQ at 100th percentile with Kalshi pricing 4.5% odds Nasdaq-100 below 19,000 by Dec 2026.

Sources

futures