SignalMacro

Invesco QQQ $695.33 ↓ 1.5% 24th %ile • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 24th in 90d range

Why it matters

QQQ down 1.5% at 24th percentile and Kalshi's 4% probability drove macro alert.

Sources

futures