SignalMacro

Nasdaq Futures $28543.00 ↓ 3.4% 5th %ile • KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — 18,999.99 or below

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 3.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 5th in 90d range

Why it matters

Nasdaq futures fell 1.5% to the 12th percentile as Kalshi priced 2.5% odds of Nasdaq-100 below 19,000 by Dec 2026.

Sources

futures