CatalystMacro

Heating Oil Futures $3.99 ↓ 2.6% 74th %ile • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 74th in 90d range

Why it matters

Heating Oil down 3.3% at 85th percentile while KXWTI shows 8.5% chance of WTI above $117.

Sources

futures