CatalystMacro

Heating Oil Futures $4.10 ↓ 3.3% 84th %ile • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 84th in 90d range

Why it matters

Large decline in heating oil from elevated 84th percentile alongside 8.5% probability of WTI above $117 drives macro ale

Sources

futures