CatalystMacro

Crude Oil Futures $84.79 ↓ 5.1% 39th %ile • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 39th in 90d range

Why it matters

Oil fell 3.1% to $89.31 while Kalshi markets show 8.5% chance of settling above $117 by Nov 2026.

Sources

futures