CatalystMacro

Crude Oil Futures $89.31 ↓ 3.1% 53th %ile • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 53th in 90d range

Why it matters

Crude Oil's 3.1% drop and Kalshi's 8.5% probability of $117+ drove high alert.

Sources

futures