SignalMacro

Crude Oil Futures $79.85 ↑ 0.6% 30th %ile • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 30th in 90d range

Why it matters

Crude up 1.7% at 29th percentile, yet KXWTI 8.5% chance of $117+ by Nov 2026.

Sources

futures