SignalMacro

Crude Oil Futures $71.51 ↓ 0.8% 13th %ile • KXWTI 9.0% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 9.0% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 9.0% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 13th in 90d range

Why it matters

Crude at 16th percentile yet KXWTI predicts 9% chance of $117+, signaling extreme tail risk.

Sources

futures