Bolsonaro wins the first round 47.2% to 44.9% over Lula with 99% counted, and the pollsters missed it badly — runoff lands Oct 25. A showing that strong reopens the LatAm right-wing policy trade and h

What happened: Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, won the first round of Brazil's presidential election and will face incumbent President Lula da Silva in an October 25 second round. Key numbers: With 99% of votes in, Bolsonaro led Lula 47.2% to 44.9%. Why it matters: The result contradicted polls that showed Lula with a single-digit lead, giving ammunition to the Brazilian right's claims that leading pollsters are biased toward Lula and his Workers Party. The outcome continues a string of right-wing victories across Latin America.

Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, won the first round of Brazil's presidential election and will face incumbent President Lula da Silva in an October 25 second round.

The result contradicted polls that showed Lula with a single-digit lead, giving ammunition to the Brazilian right's claims that leading pollsters are biased toward Lula and his Workers Party. The outcome continues a string of right-wing victories across Latin America.