Midwest pro-Trump state could hold key to Republicans' midterm hopes

What happened: House Republicans are focusing on Iowa, which Trump won by about 13 points in 2024, to keep their majority, with three of four districts in play and Republicans defending them ahead of the November 3 election. Key numbers: Trump won Iowa by roughly 13 points in November 2024. Three of four Iowa districts are in play. Why it matters: Emmer and other Republicans dismiss polling that shows Democrats gaining, arguing the outcome depends on turnout, while some GOP operatives warn the races could end in narrow wins or total losses.

House Republicans are focusing on Iowa, which Trump won by about 13 points in 2024, to keep their majority, with three of four districts in play and Republicans defending them ahead of the November 3 election.

Emmer and other Republicans dismiss polling that shows Democrats gaining, arguing the outcome depends on turnout, while some GOP operatives warn the races could end in narrow wins or total losses.