Surging bond yields threaten bank treasury income, signaling fixed-income market stress.
Context
What happened: Surging bond yields are likely to cut banks' treasury income, with Jefferies estimating lower aggregate treasury gains for the fiscal second quarter.
Key numbers: Jefferies estimates Q2 treasury gains at ₹5,500 crore, down 58% from ₹13,100 crore a year earlier and 23% lower than ₹7,100 crore in the June quarter.
Why it matters: Higher yields reduce mark-to-market and trading gains on banks' investment portfolios, keeping profit growth muted. The impact is expected to be more pronounced for public sector banks, which typically hold larger government securities portfolios.
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