CatalystDerivatives
Robinhood missed Q3 (rev $1.42B vs $1.43B, EPS $0.51 vs $0.55), but the mix is the story: event contracts hit $173M and have overtaken crypto at $120M. Crypto is down 55% y/y while prediction markets
Robinhood missed Q3 earnings despite rising crypto revenue and growing prediction market bets.
Context
What happened: Robinhood reported third-quarter revenue of $1.42 billion and earnings of $0.51 per share, both below Wall Street expectations, while crypto revenue rose and event contracts revenue grew.
Key numbers: Revenue $1.42 billion versus roughly $1.43 billion expected. EPS $0.51 versus $0.55 expected, down from $0.61 a year ago.
Why it matters: The quarter missed on both revenue and earnings, and shares fell in after-hours trading. Robinhood trimmed the top of its 2026 cost guidance range, while event contracts continued to outgrow crypto revenue.
Coverage: 5 outlets in 24h
What changed
Robinhood reported third-quarter revenue of $1.42 billion and earnings of $0.51 per share, both below Wall Street expectations, while crypto revenue rose and event contracts revenue grew.
Why it matters
The quarter missed on both revenue and earnings, and shares fell in after-hours trading. Robinhood trimmed the top of its 2026 cost guidance range, while event contracts continued to outgrow crypto revenue.