What changed
Mon June 29, 2026. US-Iran truce unraveling after fresh Strait of Hormuz strikes. Fed rate hike bets jump, gold notches 4th weekly loss. Nvidia building a 170k-GPU AI factory in Indonesia, 95% of analysts still bullish.
Trump calls Iran’s attack a “foolish violation” — the ceasefire was always fragile, underlying threats never resolved, and now oil risk is back on the table.
$NVDA, $MU, $AVGO hold the tape. Nvidia’s next trillion-dollar play might not be GPUs — it’s fully autonomous AI for telecom networks. Micron getting “next Nvidia” buzz.
September rate hike odds climbing. Fed Vice Chair Barr speaks today. Gold’s losing streak extends, AUD/CAD rangebound on rate divergence.
PBOC surprises with an overnight liquidity operation but releases no rate — a quiet signal of caution that leaves Asia watchers guessing.
This week: every headline from the Gulf or the Fed can whip markets. Tech names squeeze higher on AI mania, but bonds look shaky as a safe haven. Stay hedged.
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Why it matters
Trump calls Iran’s attack a “foolish violation” — the ceasefire was always fragile, underlying threats never resolved, and now oil risk is back on the table.