What changed
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 — Iran ceasefire teeters on nuclear inspection row; Nvidia stalls at $200 dragging semis lower; FedEx crushes Q4.
Trump touts Iran breakthrough but 67% of Americans back the deal, even as a nuke inspection dispute clouds the truce.
FedEx (FDX) blows past Q4 estimates — shipping demand stays resilient, quieting some hard-landing chatter.
NVDA -1.1% at $200.65, stalls at the big number — Jensen Huang isn’t worried but the chart says breakout or breakdown from here, with AMD and AVGO also sliding.
Real yields grind to 2.21%, up 14bp in 13 weeks, and the FT warns the Treasury market sits on shakier ground — credit spreads still pinned at 0.93bp, for now.
So what? Nvidia’s $200 ledge and rising real rates keep risk tight — watch that breakout or breakdown, and whether the Iran truce holds or cracks.
Quant Picks (model confidence >= 70):
$EIX — +5.3% vs Utilities (6m), confidence 88
$INTU — +5.1% vs Technology (6m), confidence 88
$SBAC — +4.0% vs Real Estate (6