Escalating Hormuz attacks and stalled Iran war diplomacy signal heightened geopolitical risk.
Context
What happened: Strikes around the Strait of Hormuz resumed as mediated efforts to end the US-Israel war on Iran remain deadlocked. The IRGC Navy said a crude oil supertanker hit a naval mine, and CENTCOM showed footage of a jet bombing a Panama-flagged cargo vessel in the Gulf of Oman.
Key numbers: Kpler data cited by CNBC showed crude
Why it matters: Ship attacks appear to have cut energy flows that had surpassed pre-war levels earlier in the month. Iran demands a return to a collapsed June memorandum and US backing of an Iran-Oman deal, with no breakthrough expected before the votes.