StockDuty Jun 25, 2026 10:12 AM ET
CatalystFixed Income

Three Things that stand out:

1. Nominals are compressing lower (curve flattening)

Three Things that stand out: 1. Nominals are compressing lower (curve flattening) 2. Reals are compressing higher (restrictive) 3. Breakeven curve uninverted again but declining (risk in reals not nominals) Implies to me if continues: 1. Long end most constructive for now 2. Real assets like gold and stocks stay pressured 3. Market will start trading for recession — via @effmkthype
Flattening nominals, restrictive reals, and declining breakevens signal disinflation and long-end opportunity.
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