What changed
$TXN ā AVOID š | 6 MONTHS THESIS
šÆ Q1 2026 | Rev $4.8B | EPS $1.71 vs $1.37 š¢ | Margin 37.5%
š” Consensus underestimated EPS (1.71 vs. 1.37), but the market has quickly repriced the stock. The quantitative return forecast suggests 1.5% upside vs 7.8% downside, indicating that the remaining expectations gap is minimal and already discounted.
š Reward/risk: 0.5:1
š¢ Business Quality: 9/10
š Valuation: rich ā current P/E of 44.5x on annualized TTM EPS is well above TXNās historical 20-25x median and above analog peer averages, even after adjusting...
š® Catalyst: Next quarterly earnings (Q2 2026) expected around July 2026
š° Entry: $285.42, stop $70.84, target $179.02
āļø Avoid TXN at $304.36; risk/reward of 0.2:1 unattractive despite strong Q1 beat; high 44x PE limits upside and amplifies downside.
š Our read: AVOID. Full analysis ā
https://stockduty.xyz/s/TXN0623