What changed
$TSM — WATCHLIST 📊 | 6 MONTHS THESIS
🎯 latest | Rev $217.4B | EPS $3.49 vs $3.33 🟢
💡 Consensus had modestly underestimated near-term earnings power, as evidenced by the Q4 EPS beat ($3.49 vs $3.33 est). However, the market likely already prices in continued beats, so the variant view that earnings will consistently exceed high expectations by a wider margin is not yet proven.
📉 Reward/risk: 4.0:1
🏢 Business Quality: 9/10 - Dominant foundry with irreplaceable technology, strong customer stickiness, and healthy balance sheet.
📊 Valuation: fair - P/E of ~33x based on annualized latest quarter, above 5-year average of ~20x but potentially justified by AI growth tailwinds; EV/EBITDA...
🔮 Catalyst: Next earnings report in ~3 months
💰 Entry: $400, stop $380, target $480
📊 Our read: WATCHLIST. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/TSM0620