What changed
$THO โ BUY ๐
THOR Industries, Inc.
๐ฏ Q1 FY26 | Rev $3B | EPS $1.86 vs $1.94 ๐ด
๐ก Consensus expects continued earnings deterioration and a sluggish RV cycle, but managementโs guidance implies stabilization and a return to growth in the second half of fiscal 2026, which is not yet reflected in the 5x EV/EBITDA multiple.
๐ Reward/Risk: 2.3:1
๐ข Business Quality: 6/10 - Industry-leading RV manufacturer with premium brands (Airstream, Jayco) and scale, but structurally cyclical and exposed to discretionary spending and interest rates.
๐ Valuation: cheap โ trading at 5.0x EV/EBITDA and 8x forward P/E, vs. 5-year trough average of 6.5x and peer group at 6.5โ7.5x. FCF yield >10% on normalized FCF.
๐ฎ Catalyst: Fiscal Q3 2026 earnings and updated guidance or monthly RVIA shipment data
๐ฐ Entry: $76.2, stop $68.0, target $95.0
๐ Our read: BUY. Full analysis โ
https://stockduty.xyz/s/THO0617