What changed
$TD β BUY π | 6 MONTHS THESIS
π― latest | Rev $15.9B | EPS $2.38 vs $2.26 π’
π‘ Consensus expected margin compression and rising loan provisions, but TD delivered a clean beat with controlled expenses and robust US retail income. The market underappreciates TD's diversified earnings quality, pricing in a ~12.5x P/E that is near the low end of its postβ2010 range.
π Reward/risk: 2.5:1
π’ Business Quality: 8/10 - Oligopolistic Canadian retail banking with excellent returns, strong moats, and a valuable US franchise (TD Bank, N.A.) that adds growth optionality; regulatory stability and 4% dividend yield support downside.
π Valuation: fair to cheap β Trading at 12.5x trailing P/E (annualized EPS ~$9.52) vs. 5-year average of ~11.5x and peer RBC at 13.2x. Price/book ~1.4x vs.
π Our read: BUY. Full analysis β
https://stockduty.xyz/s/TD0621