What changed
$TDG — AVOID 📊 | 6 MONTHS THESIS
🎯 Q1 2026 | Rev $2.5B | EPS $9.85 vs $9.47 🟢 | Margin 46.3%
💡 The market believed the EPS beat was already priced in or insufficient to sustain multiple expansion; consensus expects continued growth, but any deceleration could trigger a de-rating. The beat (9.85 vs 9.47) did not drive the stock higher, indicating that the bar was higher or growth concerns persist.
📉 Reward/risk: 1.9:1
🏢 Business Quality: 9/10 - Proprietary aerospace components, high aftermarket mix (80%+), strong pricing power, and best-in-class margins create a durable moat.
📊 Valuation: rich - P/E 41.5x vs historical 5-year range of 38.2-41.1x (median 39.7x) and at 112th percentile; likely premium to peers; EV/EBITDA estimated >20x;...
🔮 Catalyst: No clear catalyst identified; recent earnings release has passed.
📊 Our read: AVOID. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/TDG0621