What changed
$TDG — BUY 📊 | 6 MONTHS THESIS
🎯 Q1 2026 | Rev $2.5B | EPS $9.85 vs $9.47 🟢 | Margin 46.3%
💡 Consensus underestimated the aftermarket recovery, expecting $9.47. The $9.85 actual beat indicates stronger organic growth, though the stock's 37.8x P/E reflects a 'good but not exceptional' scenario. Variant view: the beat is a leading indicator of a multi-quarter upgrade cycle.
📉 Reward/risk: 2.85:1
🏢 Business Quality: 9/10 - Dominant aerospace aftermarket franchise with high barriers, pricing power, and exceptional cash generation.
📊 Valuation: fair - 37.8x P/E (50th percentile of historical range) and ~17x EV/EBITDA are in line with history and premium peers.
🔮 Catalyst: Next quarterly earnings or guidance raise, plus potential bolt-on M&A
💰 Entry: $1328, stop $1250, target $1550
📊 Our read: BUY. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/TDG0619