What changed
$SRE โ AVOID ๐ | 6 MONTHS THESIS
๐ฏ Q1 2026 | Rev $3.7B | EPS $1.28 vs $1.17 ๐ข
๐ก Consensus may be extrapolating the recent beat into sustained above-trend growth, ignoring the likelihood of mean reversion in the utility sectorโs P/E multiple. The market appears to be pricing in a bull case without adequately discounting regulatory or macro headwinds.
๐ Reward/risk: 0.3:1
๐ข Business Quality: 5/10
๐ Valuation: rich โ trailing P/E 31.4x at 108th historical percentile; forward P/E ~18.4x based on guidance midpoint is near peer median but fails to compensate...
๐ฎ Catalyst: None identified; the recent earnings beat is already priced in, and no near-term regulatory, rate, or company-specific catalyst is expected within 3 months.
๐ฐ Entry: $92.73, stop $66.47, target $100.25
๐ Our read: AVOID. Full analysis โ
https://stockduty.xyz/s/SRE0625